Parameter

1 markets

Market segments are defined based on travel distance. Different ranges require different aircraft and result in different travel experiences. This layer can inform operators in building new routes and business models while also informing manufacturers of potential future demand for aircraft and travel needs.
In this first version of the roadmap, we discern five market segments based on future travel range:
● Ultra-Short Range: <50 km
● Short Range: 50 - 1500 km
● Medium Range: 1500 - 4000 km
● Long Range: 4000 - 10000 km
● Ultra-Long Range: >10000 km

Hierarchy

1 markets
1.1 ultra-long range
1.2 long range
1.3 medium range
1.4 short range
1.5 ultra-short range
2 aircraft types
3 product service systems
4 technological themes
5 resources

Scenario relevance

Number of parameter occurrence per scenario.

Input
Output
6
6
Optimising together
N/A
Stripping down
N/A
Tech for you
N/A
Mad max

Milestone Timehorizon

PESTEL categories

Current

Short term

Medium term

Long term

Governance & Operations

A unified global regulatory, legal, and data framework for the net-zero transition and seamless air travel.

2
Binding Global Mandate
1
Common Data Standards
2
Innovation Sandboxes
3
Collaborative Governance Blueprint
1
Ratifying The Treaty
2
Demonstrating Unified ATM
1
Establishing The Enforcer
1
Mutual Certification
2
Implementing Unified ATM
1
Collaborative Mandate Management
1
Multi-Modal Integration
2
Adaptive Governance

Environment & Economy

A self-sustaining, circular aviation market supported by established economic and industrial models.

2
Common Emissions Standard
3
Secure Initial Funding
1
Validate Scaling Paths
2
Mandate Circular Design
2
Deploy Hub Infrastructure
1
Operationalize Incentives
1
Launch Circular Supply Chains
1
Internalize Emission Costs
5
Complete Fleet Renewal
1
Secure Energy Supply
2
Achieve Full Circularity
2
Confirm Economic Viability

Technology & R&D

A fully developed, certified, and deployed ecosystem of net-zero technologies, from new propulsion to full autonomy.

3
Ground-Test Propulsion
1
Digital Twin Architecture
1
Validate Foundational AI
2
Pilot Efficiency Concepts
1
Flight-Prove Propulsion
1
Deploy Gen 1.0 Digital Twin
2
Certify Reduced Crew
3
Certify All Aircraft
1
Implement Autonomous Cargo
1
Implement Autonomous ATM
2
Optimize With Digital Twin
2
Launch Gen 2.0 R&D

Society & Human Capital

A fair, equitable, and human-centric transition that ensures public trust and a fully integrated future workforce.

0
Analyze Skills Gap
0
Build Social License
0
Ratify Just Transition
2
Launch Reskilling Programs
0
Define Equity Standards
2
Demonstrate Just Transition
1
Ensure Remote Access
1
Build Trust In Autonomy
1
Permanent Transition Monitoring
2
Verify Universal Access
2
Achieve Full Public Trust
1
Integrate New Workforce

Little to many relations with other Milestones