Milestone

Demonstrate Just Transition: Demonstrate 'Just Transition' principles in all major industrialization projects.

This means applying the "social contract" (from the Short Term) to real-world projects. It involves ensuring that all new 'gigafactory' and 'airport retrofit' projects adhere to the agreed-upon principles for local hiring, retraining, and community benefit.

Aviation Specific Importance

If the principles are not put into practice, the "social contract" is broken, and trust is lost. This would reignite the labor disputes and political opposition that the agreement was designed to prevent, putting all future projects at risk of cancellation.

Scenario

Optimising together

Context Factor

A fair, equitable, and human-centric transition that ensures public trust and a fully integrated future workforce.

Timeline

Medium term

PESTEL

Societal

Related milestones (3)

Launch Circular Supply Chains

Launch full-scale, circular industrialization for net-zero aircraft.

This action involves building the new supply chains required to support the circular economy. This includes constructing the first large-scale, automated facilities for disassembling retired airframes and recycling valuable 'end-of-life' composite materials.

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Ratify Just Transition

Ratify the guiding principles for a 'Just Transition'.

This is a formal process of negotiation to create a "social contract" for the transition. It involves bringing all stakeholders, especially labor unions, to the table to agree on core principles, such as a "job guarantee" for all displaced fossil-fuel-era workers.

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Permanent Transition Monitoring

Implement permanent 'Just Transition' bodies to manage workforce impacts.

This action transitions the "Just Transition" from a set of principles into a permanent, operational monitoring program. These bodies are empowered to manage long-term workforce impacts and act as a permanent ombudsman for labor and community issues.

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Related parameters (10)

Input (5)

1 Markets
2 Aircraft Types
3 Product Service Systems
4 Technological Themes
5 Resources

Output (5)

1 Markets
2 Aircraft Types
3 Product Service Systems
4 Technological Themes
5 Resources

Sources

"Mitigate the socio-economic impacts of transition: Support regions and workers affected by industrial shifts through the Just Transition Mechanism. Accompany decarbonisation policies with investment and incentive measures to ensure a resilient supply chain transition." (Destination 2050 (2025), p. 18)

"As Kenya moves forward, it stands as a compelling example of how a developing country can lead by example in environmental stewardship, demonstrating that sustainability and inclusive development can go hand in hand in the global transition to net zero by 2050" (2025 ICAO Environmental Report, p. 289)

"Many developing countries hold significant potential for SAF development and production, and this can support their local economic development." (2025 ICAO Environmental Report, p. 289)