Milestone
This is the mature, "Gen 2.0" predictive digital twin, which moves from an advisory tool (Medium Term) to the primary control system. It uses AI based optimizations to predict and resolve network conflicts in real-time, managing all flights as a single, unified global fleet.
Failure to mature the digital twin to this predictive level means the network is still reactive. This would prevent the system from achieving its ultimate efficiency, as it would be solving problems as they happen rather than preventing them from occurring.
Scenario
Optimising together
Context Factor
A fully developed, certified, and deployed ecosystem of net-zero technologies, from new propulsion to full autonomy.
Timeline
Long term
PESTEL
Implement the unified, AI-driven global ATM system as the universal standard.
This is the final, system-wide rollout, making the new, proven ATM protocols the universal standard for all air traffic. This involves the decommissioning of all legacy national ATC systems in favor of the single, autonomous U-space.
Read moreDeploy the 'Gen 1.0' system-wide digital twin for network optimization.
This involves deploying the first operational version ("Gen 1.0") of the system-wide digital twin as an advisory tool. It moves from an "architecture" (Short Term) to a live tool used by controllers and airlines for initial active flight path optimization and network-wide "what-if" scenario planning.
Read moreLaunch 'Gen 2.0' R&D for continuous optimization of in-service fleets.
This involves using the vast amount of data from the new in-service fleet to drive continuous improvement. This means launching 'Generation 2.0' R&D to create even more efficient gas turbine technology (for SAFs), lighter advanced composites, and more powerful AI based optimizations.
Read more"Concepts like free route airspace and flexible use of airspace can lead to win-win-situations where CO2 effects and non-CO2 effects are reduced at the same time." (Destination 2050 (2025), p. 136)